OK, we haven't done too many of these lately. At the beginning of the season, The Athletic ran a long article purporting to show that Coach John Calipari hasn't been the same since UK lost to Wisconsin in the 2015 Final Four. I don't know if that's true for Cal, but it's certainly been true for me. I have never been able to lose myself in a season like that since 2015. If the Cats had beaten UNC and won the National Title in 2017 -- as they should have -- I might have recovered. Or if they had beaten Auburn and gone to the Final Four in 2019 -- as they should have -- I might have recovered. But ever since that loss to Wisconsin, it always seems like something goes wrong for the Big Blue.
But tonight, the Cats woke up the echoes. The excitement in the Commonwealth has been building for awhile. UK only has seven significant players, and six of them are guards. So as I commented in the game against Kansas, they looked like one of the early Pitino teams if there was no Mashburn and no one could shoot. They still don't have a Mashburn, but now they are starting to shoot.
They almost beat Kansas. They were too quick for the Jayhawks, and after falling behind 9-0, they shot out to a 58-44 lead with 16:21 left in the game. They still led 83-78 with less than 4 minutes to go, but they weren't ready to go down the stretch with the canny Jayhawks. The Cats missed their last eight shots, finished 12-38 from behind the 3-point line, and fell 89-84.
Still, Kentucky fans took notice. In the second quarter of the game -- the last 10 minutes of the first half -- UK had outscored KU 34-25. Thirty-four points in ten minutes -- against Kansas! That's pretty unusual. And UK fans love high-scoring teams that can shoot. So hope started to bloom. UK came home and started making three-pointers. They beat Stonehill 101-67. They won a wild shootout with St. Joseph's in overtime, 96 to 88. (In that game, the Hawks went 15-37 from three-point range, but the Cats made 12-25 in response). And then, on the day after Thanksgiving, they smashed Marshall 118 to 82. In that game, UK went 16-27 from three-point range, and scored the most points the Cats have ever scored under Cal.
So Rupp Arena was rocking tonight when Miami of Florida -- the number 8 team in the country -- rolled into town. John Wall was there. Jay Bilas was there. The place was packed. And it soon became evident that we were in for some drama. The Cats jumped out to an early 21-11 lead, but then Miami went on an 18-2 run to take a 29-23 lead. Then UK ended the half on a 19-8 run to lead 42-37 at the break.
While everyone caught their breath, UK fans worried about D.J. Wagner, the highly touted freshman point guard who had torched Marshall for 28 points on Friday. Wagner fell and hurt himself toward the end of the first half, and it was pretty obvious he wouldn't be playing in the second half. We've been through this sort of thing a lot in recent years, and it usually ends very badly for the Big Blue. We still don't know what happened to Wagner, or when he'll be back. But his absence meant that in the second half, UK's chances depended on Reed Sheppard -- the son of UK hero Jeff Sheppard -- a freshman from London, Kentucky.
Now this is why we watch. This is why we sit through all those terrible games. Because someday, magic can happen. And magic happened tonight. Sheppard was tremendous -- he finished with 21 points, 4 assists, and 3 steals. And the Cats torched Miami. Look at these numbers:
Other SEC scores tonight:
ReplyDeleteSyracuse 80 - 57 L.S.U.
Pittsburgh 64 - 71 Missouri
Georgia Tech 67 - 59 Mississippi St.
S. Carolina 65 - 53 Notre Dame
Mississippi 72 - 52 N. Carolina St.
That leaves Alabama, which is getting pounded 76-66 by Clemson -- in Tuscaloosa -- with 4 minutes left.
ReplyDeleteHere are tomorrow's SEC matchups:
ReplyDeleteN. Carolina v. Tennessee
Auburn v. Virginia Tech
Virginia v. Texas A & M
Wake Forest v. Florida
Arkansas v. Duke
Florida St. v. Georgia
Vanderbilt v. Boston Coll.
I don't really know what to make of Alabama. I like their style of play, and they had really good teams in 2021 and 2023. But they do suffer some awful losses. Last year, they were the number-1 team in the Nation. They went 16-2 in the S.E.C. They won the S.E.C. Tournament, crushing A & M by 19 points in the final. They beat Maryland by 22 to reach the Sweet 16. They led San Diego St. 48-39 with 11:40 left in the game. And then they collapsed. They were outscored 32-16 the rest of the way to a San Diego State team that couldn't really score. It was one of the strangest games I ever saw.
ReplyDeleteAnd now they're losing badly to Clemson at home. This was a Clemson team that only beat UAB by one point on a neutral floor a few weeks ago. Now they're cruising in Tuscaloosa, up 81-72 with 1:47 left.
ReplyDeleteMaybe it's as simple as live by the three, die by the three. Alabama has only shot 11-34 from 3-point range in this game, while Clemson has gone 11-21. That's a big problem. And last year, the Tide went 3-27 from behind the line against San Diego State. Brandon Miller, who was the number 2 pick in the NBA Draft, went 1-10 from 3-point range by himself. So maybe that's it.
ReplyDeleteBut if so, then Oats has to have a Plan B. It's very rare to go through the NCAA Tournament and not have any cold-shooting games.
ReplyDeleteClemson wins in Alabama: 85 to 77.
ReplyDeleteWhat a great thing to read this morning after such a great game to watch last night.
ReplyDeleteAnd I totally agree about Rupp.
ReplyDeleteOf course, the Cats then fell apart against UNC Wilmington, losing 80-73. Just another example of UK being unable to get anything done in the last five minutes of a game. Cats fall to 20th on Ken Pom, and they are 311th in luck. Kansas is 9th on Ken Pom, and up to 42d on luck. So the beat goes on.
ReplyDeleteKen Pom now has UK going 21-10 for the year, and 11-7 in the SEC.
ReplyDeleteHere's UK's record through 8 games since 2015:
ReplyDelete2016: 7-1 (Ken Pom rank: 7)
2017: 7-1 (5)
2018: 7-1 (13)
2019: 7-1 (17)
2020: 7-1 (7)
2021: 2-6 (49)
2022: 7-1 (19)
2023: 6-2 (6)
2024: 6-2 (20)