Monday, February 16, 2026

Pope Watch

With six games left in the season, here's how UK compares to its usual rivals (along with a few other teams of interest) in the KenPom rankings:

2.  Duke:  23-2
6.  Florida:  19-6 (beat UK 92-83 in Gainesville)
12.  Vanderbilt:  21-4 (beat UK 80-55 in Nashville)
14.  Louisville:  19-6 (beat UK 96-88 in Louisville)
15.  Kansas:  19-6
17.  Arkansas:  19-6 (lost to UK 85-77 in Fayetteville)
18.  Alabama:  18-7 (beat UK 89-74 in Tuscaloosa)
19.  Tennessee:  18-7 (lost to UK twice:  80-78 in Knoxville; 74-71 in Lexington)
21.  St. John's:  20-5 (lost to UK 78-66 in Atlanta)
22.  Brigham Young:  19-6
27.  Kentucky:  17-8 (has a record of 5-5 against the teams on this list)
28.  N. Carolina:  20-5 (beat UK 67-64 in Lexington)
36.  Indiana:  17-9 (lost to UK 72-60 in Lexington)
42.  U.C.L.A.:  17-8

Here's Kentucky's record through 25 games in each of the last five seasons:

2022:  10-2 in the SEC; 21-4 overall; 3 on Ken Pom (lost in first round of NCAAs)
2023:  7-5 in the SEC; 16-9 overall; 44 on Ken Pom (lost in second round)
2024:  8-4 in the SEC; 18-7 overall; 22 on Ken Pom (lost in first round)
2025:  6-6 in the SEC; 17-8 overall; 18 on Ken Pom (lost in regional semifinals)
2026:  8-4 in the SEC; 17-8 overall; 27 on Ken Pom

The 2022 team was the last UK team to reach the semifinals of the SEC tournament; the Cats have been eliminated in the quarterfinals of the SEC in each of the last three seasons.

Here's the top of the SEC standings:

Florida:  10-2
Arkansas:  9-3
Vanderbilt:  8-4
Alabama:  8-4
Tennessee:  8-4
Kentucky:  8-4
Texas:  7-5
Texas A & M:  7-5
Missouri:  7-5

25 comments:

  1. One thing to keep an eye on: LSU will probably hire a new coach in the offseason, and I expect the Tigers to soon be competitive again.

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  2. Also, this is only Sean Miller's first year in Texas; the Longhorns will probably be better next year.

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  3. Oklahoma will also hire a new coach, but I don't have as much faith in them as I do in LSU.

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  4. Odds to win this year's National Title:

    Michigan: +450
    Arizona: +600
    Duke: +700
    Houston: +750
    Florida: +1200

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    1. You can have UConn for +1700, which strikes me as generous.

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  5. UNC leads the all-time series with NCSU by 168 to 81. But NCSU is off to an early 25-16 lead in Raleigh tonight.

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  6. UK leads the all-time series with Tennessee by 165 to 79. The UNC/NCSU series is very similar to the UK/UT series -- it's an amazing rivalry when NCSU is competitive.

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  7. Will Wade is the perfect coach for NCSU. They should keep him for the rest of his career.

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  8. Michigan goes to West Lafayette and pounds Purdue, 91 to 80. Once again, this won't be Purdue's year. But it could be Michigan's.

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  9. This Michigan team is the best team from the Big 10 since Michigan State won it all in 2000.

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  10. In Dallas, SMU beats U of L 95 to 85, thus ending the Ville's five-game winning streak. U of L is now 8-5 in the ACC, and 19-7 overall.

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  11. Without Caleb Wilson, the Tar Heels have no offense. NCSU crushes them, 82 to 58. It's the Wolfpack's biggest win over the Heels since 1962.

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  12. Ken Pom has UK beating Georgia tonight, 85 to 78.

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  13. UK starts with a turnover, and the game is on.

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  14. Michigan St. leads UCLA 40-20 with 2:31 left in the first half, and I have a feeling that Mick Cronin will not be coaching the UClan next year.

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  15. With 3:23 left in the first half, Georgia leads 34-31.

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  16. The last time Georgia won in Rupp Arena, UK fired its coach after the season.

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  17. Florida crushed South Carolina 76-62 to move to 11-2 in the SEC.

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  18. Kentucky 34 - 39 Georgia (Halftime) The Cats haven't made the Tournament yet.

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  19. Pope is a better coach than I thought -- you'd have to be a pretty good coach to win eight SEC games with these players.

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  20. Michigan St. hammers UCLA 82-59. Expect a new coach at UCLA next year.

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  21. Georgia leads 66-55 with 10:55 left, and the Bulldogs have convinced me that they are the better team.

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  22. Texas beats LSU 88-85 to go 8-5 in the SEC.

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